Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

PresidentHousePHLatest articlesAre polls that use AI chatbots even polls? | 538 Politics podcastThe 538 team plays another round of "Good or Bad Use of Polling” to discuss how an experimental polling company, Aaru, uses AI chatbots to obtain information about political preferences.October 8, 2024The election might not be that close after all | 538 Politics podcastThe 538 team discusses whether average polling error in presidential elections could translate into a landslide victory for either candidate.October 8, 2024Will there be a racial realignment in the 2024 election? | 538 Politics podcast538’s Galen Druke and G. Elliott Morris discuss crosstabs and whether they can predict a racial realignment on Election Day.October 8, 2024What Americans think about the war in Gaza, a year after the Oct. 7 attacksThey've grown less supportive of Israel's actions and U.S. military aid.October 7, 2024Which way are key demographic groups leaning in the 2024 election?Keep an eye on the gender gap an...