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Hello Friends,

The ocean’s looking like a lake. Out at sea the MHL buoy was detecting a 0.9 metre, 9-second south by SSW swell, so the low energy conditions aren’t unexpected. But change is on the way. The Bureau tells us that by this afternoon, we could be seeing the first hint of the expected south pulse. By tomorrow as it clouds over and we see a 95% chance of rain, the south swell should be obvious. There could be a window of opportunity for a wave before the southerly wind ramps up. Right now it looks like Thursday will see solid south swell but with stiff south wind.  Friday could be more of the same. The models show the swell pushing into the 3 metre range on Saturday but the call is for continuing strong SSE wind and rain through Sunday.

Anyway, have a good one!


Weather Situation

A low pressure system is centred to the south of Tasmania while a high pressure ridge extends across the north, directing a fresh to strong, gusty westerly airstream over the coastal waters. Another low pressure system is forecast to enter the state’s far west today and cross the state, reaching the north coast on Wednesday before heading offshore. A trough is forecast to brush the coast in the wake of the low, whipping fresh and gusty southerly winds, then the system may deepen to yet another low pressure system off the north coast during the weekend before heading offshore by early next week.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore during the morning. Winds tending southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon then becoming variable below 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
South to southwesterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then tending southerly 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Wednesday 30 July

Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early morning then tending southerly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.

Thursday 31 July

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

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