Maybe later
Hello Friends,
Wind was SSW as of 0730 this morning and skies were partly cloudy. At 0500 the MHL buoy was registering 2.4 m at 8 seconds and coming from the SSW to SSE. However, as the pictures show, the energy really wasn’t getting into south ends like Dee Why. The line was reasonably distinct and set wave faces along the open stretches looked to be up to chest high, but the shutdowns ruled and as a consequence there weren’t many in the water.
Wondering about how Alfred the Cyclone’s going?
I’ve copied the Bureau’s 4-day forecast below so you can see what the professionals expect will happen. The marine forecast (see below the pic) predicts that the NE energy levels will start to increase today and by tomorrow will be building to 2.5-3 metres while mixing with a rising south to SE influx in the 1.5 – 2.5 metre range. Unfortunately the wind’s expected to be hammering along from the SE at 15-25 kts. And it’ll continue into Wednesday. Meanwhile the swell energy will dial up to crazy. The Bureau’s call is for 4-5 metres from the NE with an added tincture of fading 1.5-2.5 metre south component. If you don’t mind the blustery, showery weather, Wednesday should offer some impressive wave watching opportunities. Surfing will be out of the question for sane people.
As for when it’ll next be inviting, well, maybe mid-month. Both the ECMWF and GFS models are showing showery to rainy weather through to the 14th.
Go well and stay safe!
Weather Situation
A trough which brought southerly winds to southern and central waters today will be replaced by a ridge of high pressure during today. After this, south to southeasterly winds are forecast to increase, particularly along the northern waters, as Tropical Cyclone Alfred slowly moves south over the Coral Sea and then tracks back towards the southern Queensland or northern New South Wales coast later in the week. Large and powerful waves are likely to develop along the northern coast in the coming days.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
- Winds
- Southerly 15 to 25 knots.
- Seas
- 1 to 2 metres.
- 1st Swell
- Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
- 2nd Swell
- Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.
Tuesday 4 March
- Winds
- Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
- Seas
- 1.5 to 2 metres.
- 1st Swell
- Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly 2.5 to 3 metres by early evening.
- 2nd Swell
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then tending southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers.
Wednesday 5 March
- Winds
- Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
- Seas
- 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
- 1st Swell
- Northeasterly 2 to 4 metres, tending easterly 4 to 5 metres during the morning.
- 2nd Swell
- Southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 0.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
- Caution
- Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.