The Goat’s Surf Forecast
The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Surf forecast issued Thursday 6 January 2022: Seven day outlook for Sydney:
Soo hot, humid, clammy, and uncomfortable ..that it reminds me of landing in Angola in the middle of the night in ’74, the smells of the jungle all around, knowing that a rebel mortar shell could lob on the plane at any moment…
But that’s another story
The Noreaster/ East Noreaster has been honking all day and a good part of last night, providing a bit of relief from the humidity and messing up the surf at most places. Places that are really sheltered from the wind had heaps of contenders vying for a wave.
The outlook is for Jungley conditions>> hot, humid, chance of severe T storms etc etc>> to continue for the next coupla days.. But Hey, good news…no jungle smells, or risk of mortar attack likely!
The wind is expected to continue strong from the NorEast, before a windy S change early Sunday will chop the surf up from the other direction, before it blows onshore East, then S/SE, then NE, with the odd light wind period to watch.
Talk about spoilt for variety in mostly choppy conditions…
Stay alert for the odd periods of OK conditions.
All those noreasters are likely to make the water a bit cooler (down to 23-24 now), and the consistent noreast swells have created numerous strong rips for inexperienced or weaker swimmers all along some beaches. Keep an eye out for them and help ’em out if you can.
Friday: similar to today, somewhere around 2 ish metres from the North East, with size at each beach as always dependant on the beach alignment (the direction it faces relative to the direction the waves arrive from), and the bathymetry (depth of the ocean floor at the beach) including tides. So, bigger at southern ends of beaches, with rips pushing lots of water back out at various spots along and at north ends of beaches
Saturday: upper end of the 1-2 metre range, more North East, and ditto
Sunday: 1-2 metre range North East, but easing a bit as the southerly wind hits it and chops it up from the other direction
Monday: around 1-1+ metres East
Tuesday: around 1 ish metres East/South East
Wednesday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range East
Thursday: ditto.
As long time readers would know, TG’s Surf Forecast has always been so much more than just a surf forecast (Don reminded me the other day, since 1996), aiming to address readers’ requests for additional info, like good fishing spots up/down the coast, info about places, best surf spots. TG’s answers to which tend to err on the public benefit side, ie pretty vague :).
This week is no exception, with a first for these Covid times:
Could TG provide advice on best comfort stops for families wanting to avoid crowds of potential covid holiday makers going up/coming back from up north?
TG is in fact an expert on such matters, as he likes to refresh in the great outdoors himself. But he can’t posssibly be seen to be publicly endorsing particular Rest Areas.
Pick a spot out in the fresh air, where there’s nice grass, shady trees, somewhere the kids can frolic around, a bit of privacy, and you can’t go wrong!
Boy it feels good to be helpful.
TG
Up in the Air
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml
Winds..oh yes, there will be wind…lots of it NE and SE
https://www.windy.com/-33.850/151.220?2022010815,-34.368,151.221,8,m:cIKaknd
Down in the Sea
Water temp
Tides
https://www.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/2021-07/tide-tables-2021-2022.pdf
Weather from the Bureau
Thursday
Summary
- Shower or two.
- Chance of any rain: 50%
Sydney area
Mostly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds northeasterly 25 to 40 km/h.
Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]
Friday 7 January
- Summary
- Min 23
- Max 28
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 3 to 6 mm
- Chance of any rain: 70%
Sydney area
Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h increasing to 25 to 40 km/h before dawn.
Fire Danger – Low-Moderate
Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]
Saturday 8 January
- Summary
- Min 22
- Max 30
- Showers. Possible storm.
- Possible rainfall: 8 to 20 mm
- Chance of any rain: 90%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h before dawn then becoming northeasterly and light in the evening.
Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]
Sunday 9 January
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 27
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 1 to 5 mm
- Chance of any rain: 70%
Sydney area
Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light during the evening.
Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]
Monday 10 January
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 29
- Partly cloudy.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
- Chance of any rain: 30%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.
Tuesday 11 January
- Summary
- Min 22
- Max 30
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
- Chance of any rain: 60%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.
Wednesday 12 January
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 27
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 1 to 10 mm
- Chance of any rain: 70%
Sydney area
Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.
Thursday 13 January
- Summary
- Min 20
- Max 27
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 1 to 8 mm
- Chance of any

