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What a victory, draw, or defeat means for Chelsea against ES Tunis in the FIFA Club World Cup 2025

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With Chelsea set to face ES Tunis for the FIFA Club World Cup 2025, fans wonder what a win, a draw, or a lose would mean to the English side.

Chelsea are set to face Espérance Tunis on Matchday 3 of the FIFA Club World Cup 2025, looking to secure their place in the Round of 16. With qualification on the line, fans are eager to know what’s at stake depending on whether the Blues win, draw, or lose at Lincoln Financial Field.

Group D has delivered its fair share of surprises, with Flamengo stunning the Blues 3-1 after conceding the opening goal. Now, everything will be decided in the final matchup of the group stage.

Chelsea head into the clash with Espérance Tunis determined to lock up their ticket to the next round. Despite being viewed as group favorites at the start of the tournament, any misstep could make them the third European club to crash out before the Round of 16.

What happens if Chelsea win vs. ES Tunis

If Chelsea win their match against Espérance Tunis, they will clinch a spot in the Round of 16. However, they’ll finish second in the group and face the Group C winner in the next round.

This is due to Chelsea’s earlier loss to Flamengo, who sit atop the group with 6 points. Even if Chelsea also finish with 6 points and Flamengo lose to LAFC, the first tiebreaker—head-to-head results—favors the Brazilian side, leaving Chelsea in second place.

What happens if Chelsea win vs. ES Tunis

If Chelsea draw against Espérance Tunis, both teams would end the group stage with 4 points. Nevertheless, Chelsea would still advance to the Round of 16 thanks to a superior goal differential, with the Blues sitting at 0 and the Tunisian side at -1.

What happens if Chelsea win vs. ES Tunis

If Chelsea lose to Espérance Tunis, they’ll remain at 3 points while their opponents leapfrog them into second place with 6 points. This is the only scenario that would eliminate Chelsea from the Club World Cup. While the Blues remain heavy favorites, they’ll be eager to avoid the kind of upset Flamengo handed them earlier in the tournament.

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