MMO Roundtable: What Will Pete Alonso’s Next Contract Look Like, and With Who?

Last year, I asked the team here at Metsmerized if the Mets should re-sign Pete Alonso. We obviously know that they did. But here we are again, having the same conversation, with a slight spin. Here is where we think the Polar Bear’s going to end up this offseason and how much he’ll sign for.

Chris Bello 

Pete Alonso should get a high AAV contract after bouncing back with the Mets in 2025. However, due to his age, I think it’ll be a shorter term deal. This offseason, the Mets will re-sign Pete Alonso to a 4-year, $120 million deal.

David Melendi

I have a bad feeling Alonso leaves. The way he said he was opting out the day the Mets were eliminated reminded me of Juan Soto being noncommittal about staying with the Yankees the night they lost the World Series. Where? I’ll guess Boston, 5 years, $125 million.

Matthew Tutrone

At the risk of being too optimistic and biased by my own love for Pete Alonso as a player and a person, I think the mutual desire between player and fans for him to remain a Met should not be underestimated in his contract negotiations. I also think the Mets front office realizes guys like Pete, a homegrown fan-favorite who offers a consistent combination of 150+ games, 35+ HR, and 100+ RBI every year, aren’t easy to come by. I think all of this will result in Pete and the Mets coming together on a 5-year, $150 million contract with a player opt-out after the third year, which both sides should be satisfied with. From Pete’s perspective, he’ll be payed like the star he is at his position with a chance to up his salary further if he can reproduce his 2025 numbers. From the Mets perspective, it opens a multi-year window for the formidable trio of Lindor, Soto, and Alonso to lead the offense and bring home a championship, but it won’t tie the club’s hands in the extreme long term when at least one of those three may have to shift towards the DH role.

Christian De Block

Pete Alonso is sitting in a much better spot than he was 12 months ago. While that is a good thing for him, it may not be for the Mets. It’s likely more teams will be in the running for his signature this offseason. As a result, a return to Queens is far from guaranteed. The Mets cannot afford to move forward without adding at least one more impact bat. That bat will be Alonso in the end, who gets a 4-year, $112 million deal to remain with the Mets.

Mathias Altman-Kurosaki

I want to believe Pete Alonso comes back to the Mets, but I think the likelihood is lower than Edwin Díaz returning. Alonso had a resurgent year, perhaps benefitting from batting behind Juan Soto all season. However, Alonso’s defense is still below-average and he’ll turn 31 in December. His days as a first baseman may be numbered, which hurts his value. I think it would behoove both Alonso and the Mets for him to stay in Flushing, but on a contract for fewer than five years. I say he re-signs with the Mets for four years and $110 million.

Johnluke Chaparro

Scott Boras and Co. don’t seem to have much leverage for Pete since most, if not all, teams will want to use him as a hybrid 1B/DH. That will benefit the Mets because they’ll be one of the few who can afford him for the 20 plus million dollar contract that he so covets. Steve Cohen loves Pete and definitely doesn’t want to lose that bat along with the appeal Alonso has with the fan base. Although Stearns might object, he’ll offer Pete five years, $125 million with opt outs

Kai Chang

I personally think Pete will return home simply because few teams will be in on an aging, probably declining one-dimensional player. Who’s going to pay up? The Red Sox? On paper it’s not a bad fit, but they dealt away their franchise player in Rafael Devers, so I’d be surprised if they decide Pete is the right fit for them. Who else has the budget? It’d be quite a turn of events if he switched boroughs, but that really doesn’t seem feasible. Maybe the Rangers, if they’re under the impression that their window of contention is still open. As for the rest — the Nationals, Mariners, Diamondbacks, and Padres — they’re all frugal penny pinchers and operate under a tight budget. Despite coming off a slightly stronger season, he is not in a much better spot this offseason since he’s a full year older. Maybe the lack of a QO attached to him helps a bit, but that’s a minor detail in the grand scheme of things. The main thing is, I think the Mets will once again be bidding against themselves. This all being said, I don’t know how you justify giving a DH big boy money. If I’m off and this ends up being too low, by all means, call me out. My instinct, though, is a four-year, $96 million reupping with New York.

Patrick Glynn

I think he ends up getting three years and $90 million guaranteed, with some sort of vesting option or player option for $25 million for a fourth year. That would put him at $120 million guaranteed since free agency with a chance to hit $145 million. I think that’s fair. If that’s the contract, I think the Mets would be comfortable offering that to him and having him sign that, with the understanding he’s gonna DH a lot more.

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