ZiPS Loves the Mets’ Deadline Deals

Prior to Tuesday’s 2024 trade deadline, the Mets were able to find players to fit the needs of the current team without greatly impacting the future. While there are two full months of baseball left to be played, the additions of Phil Maton, Ryne Stanek, Jesse Winker, Paul Blackburn, Huascar Brazobán, and Tyler Zuber have increased the Mets’ ZiPS playoff projections.

Huascar Brazoban, Photo by Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Zymborski Projection System (ZiPS) is a FanGraph projection system that uses stats from previous years to predict player performance. They are big fans of what the Mets have added, specifically in the bullpen. Brazobán is a favorable addition due to his array of pitches, including a high-velocity four-seamer.

Looking into the projections as a collective team, the Mets have increased their likelihood of winning the division and, most importantly, making the playoffs. Before the trade deadline, the Mets had a 49.2% chance of making the postseason; now, after, they have a 57.4%. Only the Royals, at 8.5%, changed their ZiPS projection of making the playoffs more than the Mets.

The Mets start August half a game from the third NL Wild Card spot and one and a half games behind the Braves for the top WC spot.

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