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Cold and sunny but rain coming

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Hello Friends,

There’s a 95% chance of showers later, but this morning started very cold with 10-15 kt of westerly wind. The buoy offshore from Port Botany was seeing 2.5 metres of 8-9 second straight south swell. As you can see from the pictures, that was translating to waist to maybe occasionally shoulder high sets along the beach at Dee Why, but as usual, under these circumstances, the point was smaller and marginal. It was only 9 C as of 0830, so with the wind, it’s going to feel a lot colder. Water on the other hand is a comparatively balmy 19C according to Beachwatch.

Swell prospects seem to have been dialled back a little in this morning’s run of the models. Both the GFS and ECMWF models predict that the expected east pulse will start filling in on Thursday and peak in the 2 metre range by Friday when they also show wind having gone around to the NE as weather stays chilly and showery. Currently Saturday doesn’t look too bad with clearing weather, east swell and SW wind…
Have a great Monday!

 


Weather Situation

A trough will move along the southern and central waters on Monday and then linger along the northern half of the coast for the remainder of the week. This will cause southerly winds to gradually turn easterly mid-week.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending south to southeasterly during the day. Winds reaching up to 25 knots inshore in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Tuesday 19 August

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Wednesday 20 August

Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm.

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