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The Goat’s Surf Forecast

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The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday March 2022: Seven day outlook for Sydney

“What’s the forecast?” I yelled to TG.

TG said to me: “Do you know what the German word for ‘Weather’ is??”

I replied “Of course I do. I know as much as you do”…. “It’s ‘Wetter’.”

TG: “Well there’s your outlook!”

So I took a look, and countered: “Then what’s ‘Sonntag’ mean??”

“Sunday.”

“Aha!! … Not quite so simple eh, ya dill!”

>>>

Weather and waves look like being pretty wild for the next coupla days..

But then after that…

There might be some sunshine and more moderate waves for a few days…

The Low seems to be moving out to sea and slowly moving south. Depending on where it decides to land each day will affect how big or small the waves are that day. Subject to that proviso, the current outlook is>>>

Friday: somewhere in the 4-5 metre range South East

Saturday: something similar

Sunday: somewhere in the 2-3 metre range South East

Monday: around 1 metre or so South East

Tuesday: ditto South East

Wednesday: ditto East

Thursday: could be 1-1+ metres North East

Grab the good when you can… do something else when you can’t.

TG will still be waiting to suss out water quality, after hearing about some people’s infections.

TG.

Up in the Air

From BoM:

A deep low off the northern New South Wales coast is drifting away from the coast and will move southwards over the Tasman Sea during the remainder of the week. Strong to gale force winds and large waves will be generated over all coastal waters associated with the low. Uncertainty remains about the timing, position and strength of this system but it is likely that there will be a gradual easing trend in the winds from the north during the weekend.

MSLP Analysis for Thu Mar 31 00:00:00 2022 AUTC

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Mar 31 05:30:00 2022

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 24.

image

Tides

https://www.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/2021-07/tide-tables-2021-2022.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Showers. Windy.
Chance of any rain: 95% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm. Winds southerly 35 to 50 km/h decreasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the late evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 10:00 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Friday 1 April

Summary
Min 16
Max 20
Showers. Windy.
Possible rainfall: 10 to 30 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers along the coastal fringe, high (70%) chance elsewhere. Winds southerly 25 to 40 km/h turning southwesterly 35 to 50 km/h during the morning and early afternoon.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 10:00 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Saturday 2 April

Summary
Min 14
Max 21
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds southwesterly 25 to 40 km/h tending westerly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:00 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 3 April

Summary
Min 14
Max 26
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds west to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 2:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 4 April

Summary
Min 14
Max 27
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Tuesday 5 April

Summary
Min 16
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Wednesday 6 April

Summary
Min 17
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 7 April

Summary
Min 17
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending south to southeasterly during the morning

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