Breaking down Miami's NCAA Tournament scenarios: How many games could RedHawks lose and still make ...

It's important to draw a distinction between resume metrics and predictive metrics when talking about a team like Miami (Ohio) and the NCAA Tournament bubble. Selection decisions are closely tied to your resume and what you've accomplished, which is a good thing for Miami. The cries are already coming: "but Miami hasn't even played a Quad 1 game." Despite the fact that it has played zero Quad 1 games and is just 1-0 in Quad 2, there is a metric on official NCAA team sheets that acknowledges the brilliance of an unbeaten start for Miami, which improved to 26-0 with an 86-77 win at UMass on Tuesday night. It's called Wins Against Bubble (WAB), and it calculates how the average bubble team...