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The Goat’s Surf Forecast

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Surf forecast issued Thursday 19 February 2026: Seven day outlook for Sydney

Despite the mornings often starting out flat there have been some days when lower tides have provided some fun waves for some.. particularly on sunny days when water visibility has been reasonable.

At other times like on cloudy onshorey days after recent shower activity, many with long term ocean experience have decided that the wave enjoyment factor/risk factor ratio has simply not been positive in the current environment. Ocean pools are popular.

The outlook is for more showers or two, partly cloudy, blah blah blah, but some sunny periods.

Timing and numbers (like schools of fish?) might be the best policy at the moment.

Surf outlook:

Friday: around 1 – 1 plus metres at places open to dead South

Saturday: ditto

Sunday: smaller

Monday: around 1- 1 plus metres North East, before a southerly change

Tuesday: ditto dead South places

Wednesday: ditto East

Thursday: ditto North East.

TG.

Up in the Air

https://reg.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

Winds

https://www.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/noindex/2025-06/tidetables_2526-v4.pdf

Down in the Sea

Water temp is a pleasant 23, as a pleasant visitor from Denmark pleasantly discovered.

Tides

https://www.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/noindex/2025-06/tidetables_2526-v4.pdf

Weather from the Offishals

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Possible shower.
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely later this evening. Winds easterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Friday 20 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west in the afternoon and evening. Winds easterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the early morning then becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning.

Fire Danger – Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Saturday 21 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 31
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. The chance of fog in the outer west in the early morning. Medium chance of showers in the afternoon and early evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Sunday 22 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 32
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. The chance of fog in the morning, mainly in the west. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 23 February

Summary
Min 23
Max 30
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 24 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower during the morning. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h shifting east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 25 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 30
Shower or two developing.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Becoming cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 26 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High chance of showers. Winds southeasterly 15 to 25 km

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