The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Surf forecast issued Thursday 31 July 2025: Seven day outlook for Sydney
Someone yelled out to TG: Should I be thinking about a surf soon??
TG put some data into his supercomputer brain, and thought for a moment… Hmm
Swell offshore has come up to around 4-8 metres from dead South, but with the wave period being below than the magic 10 seconds size at receptive locations is a lot more modest
Max temps expected eg tomorrow 15; Current temp on the coast about 10, with a feels like of below 5. The breeze is a fresh 30-40 kph oscilating like a fan around SSW coming up from Antarctic regions – all the way to Qld – blowing icyness past his ears, with alternating heavy rain, showers and blue patches to keep you guessing
Water temp 18 ish, going down
Partially treated sewage discharge from Warriewood STP in the wet weather
A Low expected to develop up off the North Coast around Sunday, and a Large surf warning for Sydney from the Bureau
TG’s Observations over the last coupla days :
0-1 People out
3 Warships heading for Sydney shelter
0 Whales
1 Sleek Seal gleefully gliding around chasing fish to munch on.. about 10 metres from shore
No AI.. TGI >>>
He replied:
With age comes wisdom, grasshopper...
And left him to ponder that.
Sizeableness….
Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range South East
Saturday: ditto then up a bit East South East
Sunday: increasing into the 2-3 metre range East – if the Low behaves as expected
Monday :ditto ditto
Tuesday: ditto ditto
Wednesday: ditto, starting to ease back
Thursday: ditto
Stay warm.
This’ll wake you up. make you feel good!!
Keep smiling!
TG
Up in the Air
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml
Winds
https://www.windy.com/-33.850/151.220?-34.364,151.221,8,p:wind
Down in the Sea
Water temp is around 18, going down
Tides
https://www.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/noindex/2025-06/tidetables_2526-v4.pdf
Weather from the Bureau
Forecast issued at 4:20 pm EST on Thursday 31 July 2025.
Forecast for the rest of Thursday
- Summary
- Shower or two.
- Chance of any rain: 70%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. High chance of showers along the coastal fringe, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm along the coastal fringe. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening tending light in the west.
Sun protection recommended from 11:50 am to 12:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]
Friday 1 August
- Summary
- Min 10
- Max 15
- Rain.
- Possible rainfall: 6 to 30 mm
- Chance of any rain: 95%
Sydney area
Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely from the late morning. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southerly in the morning.
Fire Danger – No Rating
Sun protection recommended from 11:50 am to 12:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate
Saturday 2 August
- Summary
- Min 11
- Max 18
- Rain.
- Possible rainfall: 10 to 45 mm
- Chance of any rain: 95%
Sydney area
Cloudy. Very high chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.
Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]
Sunday 3 August
- Summary
- Min 13
- Max 19
- Showers.
- Possible rainfall: 4 to 20 mm
- Chance of any rain: 95%
Sydney area
Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. Winds southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h turning southerly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.
Sun protection recommended from 11:50 am to 12:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]
Monday 4 August
- Summary
- Min 13
- Max 20
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
- Chance of any rain: 70%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeasterly during the day then becoming light during the afternoon.
Tuesday 5 August
- Summary
- Min 11
- Max 20
- Mostly sunny.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
- Chance of any rain: 30%
Sydney area
Slight chance of a shower, most likely during the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds.
Wednesday 6 August
- Summary
- Min 10
- Max 20
- Mostly sunny.
- Chance of any rain: 20%
Sydney area
Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting southeasterly during the day.
Thursday 7 August
- Summary
- Min 11
- Max 19
- Possible shower.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
- Chance of any rain: 40%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly during the day.

