The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Surf Forecast issued Thursday 3 July 2025: Seven day outlook for Sydney
TG was at the beach telling anyone who would listen: Those waves have got to be around 10 times overhead!
Naturally people were ignoring him, until someone realised he wasn’t talking about People’s Overhead size >>>
Then they still ignored him anyway.
The waves weren’t that big, but from his 50 cm in his shoes, anything looks big.
You can never estimate size for sure, even when someone is out there (which there was not). That’s why we have the MHL Waverider buoy. It’s saying currently around 3-4, 5-6 m offshore coming at an angle that’s from the South South East. Period is over 11 seconds. The wind has been pushing it over a long distance, from the bottom of NZ across the Tasman to you – so it’s swinging waves ashore at the open places..
It’s down from yesterday’s mess, and it looks like it’ll go down a little tomorrow, then go down pretty quickly as the Low/s move away. But right now it’s still a mess. Best guess was about 3ish-4 out the back today with a lot of messy whitewater pushing in from there to the beach. And choppy, river size, rips pouring out..
No place for People or Goats.
Whales that had any sense would have been hanging around sheltered harbours while the big blow was on (there were gusts over 100 kph) so the winter migration will start up again as the sea calms down
Friday: around 2-3. 3+m sets from South East
Saturday: somewhere around 2 m/ 1-2 metre range South East
Sunday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range South East
Monday: down to around 1 ish metres or so
Tuesday: dittoish at places open to dead South
Wednesday: ditto or smaller
Thursday: ditto.
Stay warm. Stay well. Stay safe.. and Have Fun!
TG.
Up in the Air
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml
Winds
https://www.windy.com/-33.850/151.220?-34.364,151.221,8,p:wind
Down in the Sea
Water temp is around 18 degrees
Tides
https://www.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/noindex/2025-06/tidetables_2526-v4.pdf
Weather from the Bureau
Forecast for the rest of Thursday
- Summary
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 20%
Sydney area
Mostly clear. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h.
Large and powerful surf conditions for the rest of the day are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.
Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]
Friday 4 July
- Summary
- Min 10
- Max 18
- Sunny.
- Chance of any rain: 10%
Sydney area
Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day.
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.
Fire Danger – No Rating
Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]
Saturday 5 July
- Summary
- Min 8
- Max 19
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 10%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. The chance of morning fog in the outer west. Light winds.
Large and powerful surf conditions in the early morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.
Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]
Sunday 6 July
- Summary
- Min 11
- Max 21
- Possible shower.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
- Chance of any rain: 40%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Light winds.
Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]
Monday 7 July
- Summary
- Min 10
- Max 18
- Mostly sunny.
- Chance of any rain: 20%
Sydney area
Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower. Winds west to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending west to southwesterly during the day then becoming light during the afternoon.
Tuesday 8 July
- Summary
- Min 7
- Max 18
- Mostly sunny.
- Chance of any rain: 10%
Sydney area
Mostly sunny. The chance of morning frost in the outer west. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.
Wednesday 9 July
- Summary
- Min 10
- Max 18
- Sunny.
- Chance of any rain: 10%
Sydney area
Sunny. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending west to northwesterly during the morning.
Thursday 10 July
- Summary
- Min 8
- Max 17
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 20%
Sydney area
Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower. Winds northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning westerly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.