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Hello Friends,

The northern beaches looked like a lake shore this morning. So, no surfing for you I’m afraid.

Not much in the way of excitement in the swell models this morning. Broadly speaking, the ECMWF model is showing 6-8 second period swell in the metre to sub-one metre range through the weekend. The GFS model is, if anything, more pessimistic. It was predicting nothing over a metre until Monday but with slightly better periods in the 6-9 second range. Both models were showing a 2-ish metre short-period south pulse mid next week. Take that under advisement I guess.

Go well with your Wednesday!

 


Weather Situation

A series of high pressure systems entering the Tasman Sea will maintain easterly flow over the next couple of days. A cold front is forecast to pass to the south of the state midweek, with its associated trough brushing the south coast on Thursday, driving a weak southerly change before weakening. This will be followed by another high pressure system that will enter the Tasman Sea later in the week, maintaining north to northeasterly flow across the coast until the next cold front that looks set to cross the coast later in the weekend through the early new week.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
East to northeasterly below 10 knots.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Thursday 13 March

Winds
Northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending northeasterly in the late afternoon then tending northerly in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Friday 14 March

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.

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