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The Goat’s Surf Forecast

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Surf forecast issued Thursday 23 January 2025: Seven day outlook for Sydney

Perfect day…for doing just about anything but surfing. Pleasant temp.. sunny then cloudy, but still warm. Waves at times of varying size but choppy from the wind, then not really improving in lighter airs.

Like variety in your life??

Stick around – some warm days ahead, mild days, windy days. Blowing one way, then the other, and then (almost) both ways together!

And so, the Surf.. First a word about wave heights,  accuracy and stuff like that~~

TG would just like to remind all you Kool Kcats, that if you want some kind of pseudo accuracy in your surf forecasts, linger here no longer….

Today Accurate height for a second of so at 2pm Hsig was 2.086 metres, 8.17 sec from 166 degrees (SE).,, 10 kilometres off Long Reef.

But note also that just during today. Hmax offshore ranged from approx 2.5 metres, then increased up to 6 metres, then dropped back to 4 metres, while Hsig went from about 1.3m, to 3 m, and back to 2 metres.. That was  just up until 2pm.

You could subscribe to a pay site and get those sorts of automated, seemingly accurate  details… and complain when that automated forecast of 12 metre swell doesn’t turn up on your beach!

Or you can get TGs for free.

Basically it’s a choice between AI … or GI :)~~~The choice is yours.

The Outlook according to TG is

Friday : somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at places open to South East swell

Saturday : around 1-1+ metres at dead South spots (only)

Sunday : a bit smaller dead South

Monday : up a tad .. say around 1 ish metres dead South

Tuesday : ditto but from North East

Wednesday; arond 1-1+metres South East as the wind picks up

Thursday: around 1 metre or less

You best chance for a decent wave will be when lighter winds are forecast by the BoM.

If you’re looking for accuracy in measuring a constantly moving, changing means of having fun, you won’t find it here. Soak up the Vibe~~~

Stay cool. Have Fun!

TG.

Up in the Air

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.850/151.220?-34.364,151.221,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is approximately 22.5 degrees (10 ks off Long Reef)

Tides

https://www.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/2024-06/tide-tables-24-25-nsw.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast issued at 4:20 pm EDT on Thursday 23 January 2025.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Possible late shower.
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers later tonight. Winds southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Friday 24 January

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
Showers easing.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Light winds becoming southerly 25 to 40 km/h in the morning.

Fire Danger – Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Saturday 25 January

Summary
Min 18
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Cloud clearing. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Sunday 26 January

Summary
Min 20
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. The chance of morning fog in the outer west. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 27 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 31
Cloud clearing.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm, most likely in the west. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the morning then becoming north to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 28 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 35
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Becoming cloudy. Medium chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 29 January

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Winds south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h.

Thursday 30 January

Summary
Min 19
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h turning east to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning

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