Cool, grey and tiny
Hello Friends,
15-20 kts of S-SSE wind and lowering grey skies greeted the second day of 2025 in Sydney. Out at sea as of 0500 the MHL buoy was detecting 2.7 metres of 7 second SSW energy. The direction means that pretty much all the swell is heading away from the coast. Surface conditions were comparatively clean in the protected south corners, but waves were exceedingly weak and small.
This morning’s swell model data offers us no hope of an immediate improvement. If the GFS and ECMWF models are to be believed, there will be no break from the sub-8 second periods, but maybe around this time next week we’ll get a pulse into the 2-ish metre range from the SE with light onshores for the early.
Have a top old day!
Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the coast while a trough and fresh southerly change move along the south coast. This change is forecast to reach the Hunter or Macquarie Coast today and then stall and weaken. After this the ridge of high pressure will redevelop with fresh north to northeasterly winds expected along the southern and central waters.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
- Winds
- South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots early in the morning. Winds decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
- Seas
- 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
- 1st Swell
- Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
- 2nd Swell
- Northeasterly around 1 metre.
- Weather
- Cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.
Friday 3 January
- Winds
- Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly in the late morning and early afternoon.
- Seas
- Around 1 metre.
- Swell
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy.
Saturday 4 January
- Winds
- Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
- Seas
- Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
- Swell
- Southerly around 1 metre.
- Weather
- Mostly sunny.