Rainy from daybreak
Hello Friends,
The Bureau’s forecast tells us that the wind will go SE soon, but as of 0600 it was still coming lightly from the west. Out at sea, the swell was 2.2 metres at 8 seconds from the SE and it was raining at RealSurf HQ. The tide was running out to the moderate 0.6 m low at 0900.
An intense low pressure system is located not far off the SW coast of NZ and the fetch is pretty much aimed right at us, so it’s not surprising that the Bureau is warning that by tomorrow the south swell will be thundering in. Heights are currently predicted to be in the 4-6 metre range by tomorrow afternoon, and it’ll likely hold at that intensity into Monday. As the swell builds on Sunday, the Bureau tells us that the wind will swing SW and be 20-30 kts. Obviously most of us will be watching rather than participating in the action. It could be mid week before conditions moderate enough for beginners. Certainly between tomorrow and about Tuesday it’s shaping to be suitable for only the fittest, most experienced riders.
I’m hoping to get out and about with the camera, so stay tuned.
![](https://www.realsurf.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/20240615-0706-451400_Sat-DSC_6924_dailies.jpg)
Weather Situation
A low pressure system centred over the southern Tasman Sea is forecast to deepen during the weekend and remain in the region for a number of days, generating fresh to strong southerly winds and large surf along the coast into the first half of next week.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
- Winds
- Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly 15 to 25 knots in the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
- Seas
- Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
- Swell
- Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
- Weather
- Cloudy. 90% chance of showers.
Sunday 16 June
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
- Winds
- Southerly 20 to 25 knots turning southwesterly 20 to 30 knots before dawn.
- Seas
- 2 to 3 metres.
- Swell
- Southerly 2.5 to 4 metres, increasing to 4 to 6 metres during the afternoon.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers offshore, 50% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm.
- Caution
- Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Monday 17 June
- Winds
- Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots offshore.
- Seas
- 2 to 3 metres.
- Swell
- Southerly 4 to 6 metres.
- Weather
- Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
- Caution
- Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.