Lumpy but bigger
Hello Friends,
This morning saw light south to SE breezes as of 0800. Swell at sea was 1.8 metres at 14 seconds from pretty much dead south (175°). So, there’s more energy around than we’ve seen for the last few days, but with those long periods, the sets are going to be few and far between. Plus it’s lumpy at Dee Why and not really looking all that attractive. I’d been hoping for better. Adding an additional complication, the first tide of the daylight hours is a very swampy 1.84 high at 1005. It’ll drain out to a lowish 0.33 m at 1650. Weather is going to be cloudy and 25, while that wind get into the 10-15 kt range around the middle of the day. Water temp is sitting on 20C.
The GFS swell model is showing the long period stuff staying dead south and sticking around for the next couple of days. Tomorrow morning could be similar to today with some long period sets to keep it interesting and relatively light south winds early, along with partly cloudy skies. There isn’t anything terribly exciting in the long term outlook, but for what it’s worth, the GFS shows another long period pulse developing overnight on Sunday-Monday, setting us up for maybe something interesting Monday morning…
Go well!
Weather Situation
A trough developing over the state’s south is forecast to move towards the northeast today, followed by a surge of southerly winds along the coast between Thursday and Friday. Then, a high pressure system moving into the Tasman Sea will extend a ridge along the coast while an inland trough deepens, bringing northeasterly airstream along the coast through the weekend.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
- Winds
- Northeasterly about 10 knots becoming south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day then becoming east to southeasterly below 10 knots in the late evening.
- Seas
- Around 1 metre.
- Swell
- Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
- Weather
- Cloudy.
- Caution
- Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Thursday 16 November
- Winds
- South to southeasterly below 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day.
- Seas
- Below 1 metre.
- Swell
- Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Friday 17 November
- Winds
- Southerly 20 to 30 knots turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
- Seas
- Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
- Swell
- Southerly 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.