Rain and more rain
Hello Friends,
Raining steadily as the crew stirred at RealSurf HQ this morning and the forecast tells us that the cloudy skies and occasional torrential downpours are on the cards for today and tomorrow at least. Wind at North Head was 18-23 kts from the ESE as of 0730 and out at sea, the MHL buoy was seeing 3.1 metres of 12 second energy from the south around to the east.
I did the Manly-Dee Why run this morning and saw only one insane person in the water. They were way out the back at south Steyne, hunting head high jumbled up junk waves in water the colour of choclate milk. Unsurprisingly, Beachwatch reports pollution is likely from Mona Vale south (and suss north from there).
Tomorrow’s looking like being more of the same and the prospects are that the trough won’t move away until Thursday.
Stay safe!
Weather Situation
A trough extends from central parts of the coast to the northeast and will remain slow-moving for the coming days. A vigorous low pressure system is forecast to develop within this trough between tonight and early Tuesday, strengthening southerly winds across the southern and central parts of the coast between Tuesday and Wednesday as it slowly moves southeastward, until it moves further offshore and is replaced by a ridge of high pressure from Thursday onward.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
- Winds
- Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots inshore during the morning.
- Seas
- 1 to 1.5 metres.
- 1st Swell
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres developing early, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
- 2nd Swell
- Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
- Weather
- Cloudy. Near 100% chance of rain, heavy at times. The chance of a thunderstorm.
- Caution
- Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Tuesday 8 March
Gale Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
- Winds
- East to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots shifting south to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots inshore late morning, then becoming southwesterly 25 to 35 knots throughout during the afternoon.
- Seas
- 1.5 to 2.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 4 metres inshore around midday.
- 1st Swell
- Easterly 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
- 2nd Swell
- Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the morning.
- Weather
- Cloudy. Near 100% chance of rain, heavy at times. The chance of a thunderstorm.
- Caution
- Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Wednesday 9 March
- Winds
- Southwesterly 25 to 35 knots turning southerly 25 to 30 knots during the evening.
- Seas
- 2 to 4 metres.
- 1st Swell
- Southerly 2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres during the morning.
- 2nd Swell
- Easterly 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
- Weather
- Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
- Caution
- Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

