Brandon Nimmo Continues To Heat Up

A slow start has morphed into a productive season for Brandon Nimmo.

Since the All-Star break — and really this whole summer — he’s done almost nothing but mash. With two more hits in Friday’s win over the Giants, he brought his OPS above .800 for the first time since April 4.

While it’s still a slightly different brand of Nimmo, his overall production can no longer be deemed a disappointment. In fact, he’s been one of the Mets’ better hitters, and a key piece in their recent five-game winning streak.

Nimmo rocketed a double at 106.7 mph to lead off Friday’s game. He went 2-for-5 overall for his second straight multi-hit performance. Through three at-bats, he had two hits and had raised his OPS to a peak of .805. Even with the next two hitless at-bats, his OPS ended the night at an even .800.

It’s a substantial leap from, say, June 10, when his OBP was below .300 and his OPS was barely above .700. He’s worked his way up through a torrid stretch over most of June and July.

Nimmo, perhaps somewhat quietly, posted a 150 wRC+ over the month of June. His walk rate was just a meager 7% in the month, but he recorded a balanced slash line of .298/.360/.519 in that stretch.

His July has gotten even better, with a 161 wRC+. The walk rate has ticked back up a smidge, too, at right around 9%. Nimmo, after a .172 ISO in May, has posted marks above .220 in each of the last two months. And the sample size is large enough to say that it’s not just a flukey hot streak, but a prolonged improvement to his offensive production.

So what’s behind the success? As noted, he’s still not the Nimmo of old, the one who used to be an on-base merchant. His walk rate on the season is 7.8%, which would be the worst of his career by far. His OBP, which has suffered with his lack of walks, is up to a respectable .331 after his recent hot streak. That’s a smidge higher than last year’s .327, when his batting average was just .224 compared to this year’s .265.

It’s a different type of Nimmo. But after some growing pains in March, April, and early June, he’s settled in nicely to his new approach.

Brandon Nimmo makes it a 6-1 game! pic.twitter.com/kTiHD1UbG0

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And his power numbers are some of the best of his career. Nimmo’s .204 ISO would be the second-best of his career over a full season, behind only his .219 mark from 2018. His 19 home runs are already the third-most of his career; he needs four more to tie his second-most (23, 2024) and five more to tie his most (24, 2023). At the rate he’s going, he should be able to set his career best in home runs without much difficulty.

And maybe there’s still some of the old Nimmo left in him. Since the All-Star break, before Friday’s game, he had an 11.5% walk rate. It’s a smaller sample, but that number is closer to his career norm. The Mets have finally started to use him in the leadoff spot again lately, and he’s seemed comfortable in his old slot in the order. His post-All-Star break wRC+ entering Friday was a whopping 187.

The total package has been an improvement from last season for Nimmo. His 126 wRC+ is much closer to the 135, 132, and 130 marks he put up in 2022, ’23, and ’24, respectively, than the 109 from last season. And while Nimmo doesn’t walk like he used to, a deeper look at his Baseball Savant page shows that he’s actually improved his plate discipline in some ways. He’s swinging at 5.2% more pitches in the zone than last year, while keeping his O-swing% roughly the same. Better swing decisions have led to a big boost in average and a slight boost in power.

All of this feels so notable because, early in the season, there were legitimate reasons to be concerned about Nimmo. He wasn’t walking, but he also wasn’t hitting much either, so he just wasn’t providing a whole lot at the plate. Now he’s found a way to be successful as a 32-year-old veteran — no longer the young kid whose plate appearances seemed to end in him sprinting to first most of the time.

His OPS is the third-best in the Mets’ starting lineup, behind only Juan Soto and Pete Alonso. He was always going to be an important part of this team, but he’s only proved it even further as of late. With the Mets’ lineup getting thin at times, they’ve needed all the help they can get. A reliable Nimmo at the top of the lineup is a massive weight off the shoulders of a Mets team trying to sort its squad out with the trade deadline approaching.

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