Wakefield Trinity • What now for fans watching ? - Covid chat
MatthewTrin wrote:
I'm sorry this assessment is just wrong. Lockdowns in reality have little to no impact on halting the spread of this virus. If you stop relying on assumptions and look at the actual data it supports my view. We know the number of days between infection to fatality is at least 23 days. So if you go back to the start, we entered into lockdown on 23 March 2020,this would mean the peak of the curve should be on or after 13 April 2020, but the actual daily death data (not the daily reported deaths!) shows it was on 8th April 2020. Deaths by 13th April had fallen from 900 a day on the 8th April to 690 a day and this downward trend continued daily even after non essential shops were allowed to reopen on 15 June. This decline cannot therefore be credited to any lockdowns. If you still don't believe I'm correct, check out the same curve found in Sweden. The graph shows it followed the exact course of the UK; raised exponentially and fell without a lockdown.
And yet governments across the planet continue to use "lockdown" as a measure to curb the spread.
Are they all wrong but, your analysis is correct ?
The UK Government was pretty convinced that it was indeed the lockdown that had help prevent the numbers growing and deaths rising beyond what was, at the time, hospital capacity.
Statistics: Posted by wrencat1873 — Fri Oct 23, 2020 5:36 pm — Replies 513 — Views 17194