Where Will Your Team Play in the World Cup?
“The World Cup is almost here. Of the 48 teams, 32 will advance from the opening group stage to the knockout stage — a single-elimination bracket of matches to be played in 15 stadiums across North America. But where, exactly, could your team play after surviving the group? If the United States wins its group, for example, it will play its first elimination match in Santa Clara, Calif. If it finishes second, it will head to Arlington, Texas. But if it finishes third, it could play in Boston, New York or Kansas City, Mo. — or not at all, depending on how teams finish in other groups. So where a team plays its knockout games depends on its three matches in the group stage, which begins June 11. To estimate each team’s chances of getting out of its group, we used data from sportsbooks and prediction markets to measure team strength. …”
NYT

