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This Year’s Duke Team Is Cleaning Up On Three Point Shots

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WINSTON SALEM, NORTH CAROLINA - JANUARY 25: Kon Knueppel #7 of the Duke Blue Devils puts up a three-point shot against Cameron Hildreth #6 of the Wake Forest Demon Deacons during the first half of the game at Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum on January 25, 2025 in Winston Salem, North Carolina. | Photo by Lance King/Getty Images

And at a historical level for the program too.

Teams and players that make threes create an advantage for themselves whether or not their shots consistently go in. Just the threat of their prowess suffices to bend defenses. Louisville is this year’s prime Division I example of a team prospering by embracing the 3-pointer as an integral part of its offense.

More than half of the Cards’ field goal tries are threes. Only Georgia Tech attempts more field goals overall per game. While UL doesn’t hit bonusphere bombs with radar-guided efficiency, it hits enough long-range shots to thrust Pat Kelsey’s squad toward the ACC’s front rank and a spot in the national polls after three years of misery.

The other night Reyne Smith, an Australian guard who came with Kelsey from College of Charleston to UL, hit 10 threes in a perimeter barrage that fueled a 25-point rout at SMU. Every Louisville starter made at least one of the team’s 19 threes.

Despite converting 19 of 42 from 3-point range against the Mustangs, the Cards still rank near the bottom of the ACC in 3-point percentage (.317). But they’re demonstrating that what’s statistically below breakeven may not be practically inadequate.

Kelsey’s strategy entering the league somewhat resembles Cliff Ellis’ unorthodox approach upon taking over a last-place Clemson program in 1984-85. Ellis arrived more or less simultaneously with introduction of the shot clock and 3-pointer, and proceeded to speed up opponents with pressure defense and aggressive shooting.

Three years after Ellis arrived, the Tigers won 25 games and were invited to play in the NCAA tournament for only the second time in school history.

Kelsey may be this season’s most noticeable ACC user of 3-pointers, but he’s not the only noteworthy practitioner. Jon Scheyer’s Duke club is making the most of the shot as well, ranking third in the league in 3-point accuracy (.3696) and leading in threes made per game (10.7) through Jan. 25. The Devils’ 9 threes on 32 tries accounted for nearly 43 percent of their scoring in a hard-fought battle at Winston-Salem to subdue Wake Forest, 63-56.

The victory over the Demon Deacons illustrated the power of the three – while Duke made barely 28 percent of its distance tries, the cumulative point production from the shot made a huge difference.

When it comes to productive bonusphere shooting, on average the ’25 Blue Devils score 38.73 percent of their points from beyond the arc. That’s best at Duke in this century, marginally edging the 2015 NCAA champions.

ARC ANGELS
Duke Scoring Efficiency Via 3Ptr
(Through Jan. 25, 2025)
Year 3% 3A-3M %Pts3
2025 .3696 197-533 .3873
2024 .377 298-791 .3159
2023 .335 245-731 .2836
2022 .366 308-841 .2639
2021 .352 201-571 .3306
2020 .352 217-617 .2551
2019 .308 278-903 .2654
2018 .372 309-831 .2970
2017 .379 311-821 .3119
2016 .385 328-851 .3370
2015 .387 283-732 .3867
2014 .395 316-801 .3454
2013 .399 270-676 .2916
2012 .371 274-739 .3128
2011 .374 291-778 .2917
2010 .383 301-782 .2933

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