Will Warriors regroup, cover 12 pts on a back-to-back against the Hawks?
Golden State is favored by 12, returning home after a tough loss for the second game of a back-to-back, facing rookie Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks.
The Warriors will try to pick up the pieces after a tense loss and quick turnaround from LA, looking to take out their frustrations on exciting rookie Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks in the second game of a back-to-back on Tuesday night.
Here we discuss the odds and analysis from a betting perspective.
When: Tuesday November 13th 2018 at 7:30pm PST
Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland, California
TV: NBA TV, NBC Sports Bay Area
Line: Warriors -12, total at 229
Injuries: Justin Anderson (shin) is out, Dewayne Dedmon (personal) is out and John Collins (ankle) is out for the Hawks.
Stephen Curry (groin) is out and DeMarcus Cousins (Achilles) is out for the Warriors.
Atlanta Hawks
The Hawks are 3-10 on the season and in the midst of a four game losing streak, losing 106-107 in the last second at the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday when Tyson Chandler blocked Trae Young’s last second shot.
Atlanta is led by Trae Young scoring 18.5 points per game and dishing 8.2 assists per game, and Alex Len with 5.5 rebounds per game.
Atlanta is scoring 109.3 points per game (19th of 30), conceding 118.3 points per game (29th of 30), earning a simple rating system (SRS) score of -12.62 (30th of 30), pace factor of 105.9 (2nd of 30), offensive rating of 103.2 (29th of 30) and defensive rating of 111.7 (23rd of 30).
The Hawks are 5-8 against the spread (ATS) and 7-6 to the over/under this season.
Atlanta’s games have gone over the total 71.4 percent of the time on one day’s rest, 66.7 percent of the time after a loss, 58.3 percent of the time as an underdog, 57.1 percent of the time as the away team and as an away underdog this season.
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors are coming off of an ugly 116-121 overtime loss to the Clippers in Los Angeles, where they trailed for most of the game and were not their best selves both on and off the court.
Kevin Durant & Draymond Green get into a heated exchange after Draymond failed to get a shot off at the end of regulation during the Warriors loss to the Clippers. pic.twitter.com/uYROz4bld1
— Ballislife.com (@Ballislife) November 13, 2018
Golden State is led by Steph Curry scoring 29.5 points per game and Draymond Green grabbing 7.8 rebounds per game and facilitating 7.4 assists per game.
The Dubs are scoring 121.5 points per game (2nd of 30), allowing 111.6 points per game (17th of 30), earning a SRS score of 9.91 (3rd of 30), pace factor of 101.1 (12th of 30), offensive rating of 119.3 (1st of 30) and defensive rating of 109.6 (15th of 30).
The Warriors are 8-6 ATS and 8-6 to the over/under this season.
Golden State is 2-0 ATS on no rest this season, 2-0 ATS after a loss this season, 18-13 ATS after a loss since 2017 and 10-6 to the over/under on no rest since 2017.
Analysis
Even without Steph, the Warriors will be looking to get the taste of yesterday’s loss out of their mouths and should have no problem handling the Hawks in a match-up of the best team in the league against one of the worst.
Golden State has won seven straight against the Hawks and twelve of their last thirteen contests between these teams.
Since 2015, the Warriors are 4-4 ATS against the Hawks and 4-4 to the over/under in those contests.
The Hawks are one of the worst defensive teams in the league while also being one of the fastest paced teams, which when taken together with the Warriors offense and pace makes us lean toward the over in this contest.
But even on the second game of a back-to-back and without their heart-and-soul in Steph Curry, we expect KD and Draymond to show that the drama from Monday was meaningless and the Warriors to come out with a vengeance against the lowly Hawks, and see value on taking the Warriors -12.