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Ironman Australia 2025: Age Group Stats and Qualification Times

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It was a quick year for Ironman Australia. Entirely thanks to a cancelled swim. Instead the race began on the bike with a rolling start for athletes. I don’t know exactly how they formatted this, but having done a rolling bike start at ITU Worlds in Vegas many years ago, it’s not a great way to start your race.

Big changes make it hard to make meaningful comparisons. I usually exclude these races from broad stats to avoid their influence. To put together this analysis I’ve played with data in an attempt to compare like-for-like as much as possible.

Result Distributions

To allow a bit of comparison with previous years of racing I’ve removed the swim time from the overall time for the previous races. It’s never going to be a perfect comparison, the impact of a removed swim is more complicated than just eliminating its time.

Accepting those limitations we can see that this year’s race trends slightly faster over both bike and run and so the adjusted overall time too. This is more pronounced at the mid-pack than front-of-pack and the difference isn’t huge.

DNF Rates

DNF Rates at Ironman Australia
Year
Starters
Finishers
Swim DNF
Bike DNF
Run DNF
Overall DNF
DQs
2005
1619
1367
15.6%
2006
1580
1448
8.4%
2007
1620
1458
10%
2008
1543
1411
5.6%
8.6%
2009
1400
1282
5.5%
1.8%
1.3%
8.4%
2010
1462
1383
0.5%
2.8%
2.3%
5.4%
2011
1052
1016
0.4%
1.5%
1.7%
3.4%
2012
1345
1298
0.3%
1.7%
1.6%
3.5%
2013
1426
1351
0.4%
2.6%
2.3%
5.3%
1
2014
1510
1451
0.4%
1.8%
1.8%
3.9%
1
2015
1365
1282
0.2%
3.4%
2.6%
6.1%
2016
1348
1293
0.2%
2.5%
1.4%
4.1%
4
2017
1132
1072
0.2%
3.3%
1.9%
5.3%
2018
1135
1069
3.8%
2.1%
5.8%
2019
1290
1206
0.6%
3.7%
2.5%
6.5%
2023
1026
966
0.1%
2.1%
3.7%
5.8%
2024
971
921
0.3%
2.6%
2.3%
5.1%
2025
917
863
5.9%

Missing swim times don’t mix well with my code to determine where athletes DNF. I’ll need to fix that, but it’s going to have to wait (check in at the change log for new on updates and fixes). With only the overall DNF stats to consider the race looks to fall into normal parameters. DNF rates on run and bike not particularly influenced by the swim.

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Median Splits


As we can’t compare swim I’ve simply removed them from the median split charts above. They largely support the findings from the distributions – averages are slower for the majority of age groups. Not huge differences, but noticeable.

Competitor Origins

Top 10 Nationalities at Ironman Australia 2025
Country
Count
Percentage
Australia
751
81.9
United Kingdom
39
4.3
New Zealand
22
2.4
United States
19
2.1
Japan
16
1.7
Ireland
14
1.5
Korea
6
0.7
Philippines
5
0.5
Singapore
5
0.5
France
3
0.3
Ironman Australia 2025 Predicted Kona Qualifiers by Country
Country
Percentage of Slots
Percentage of Field
Australia
82.0
81.9
United States
4.0
2.1
Japan
3.0
1.7
United Kingdom
2.0
4.3
New Zealand
2.0
2.4
Ireland
2.0
1.5
Netherlands
1.0
0.1
Estonia
1.0
0.1
Austria
1.0
0.2
Switzerland
1.0
0.2

With under 1,000 athletes starting Ironman Australia is a smaller race. Not surprisingly the majority of athletes are Australian. Qualification slots also look to mostly go to Australians with performance matching their numbers at the race.

Performance Changes


There’s a few years gap in Australia’s race history following Covid. Otherwise performances have actually remained quite consistent through the years. This year showing a major increase in speed due to the shortened course. There’s more variability in the women’s performances over the years, this is likely a reflection of fewer athletes in each age group.

Qualification

Ironman Australia 2025 Predicted Kona Qualification Times
Age Group
Slots
Winner
Final Qualifier
10th Place
M18-24
5
07:37:15
08:48:00
09:10:44
M25-29
10
08:33:06
08:46:01
08:46:01
M30-34
8
08:20:57
09:05:19
09:25:45
M35-39
7
07:48:23
09:05:15
09:13:47
M40-44
8
07:50:56
08:47:59
08:57:54
M45-49
7
08:38:11
09:18:28
09:30:32
M50-54
8
08:17:31
08:57:51
09:03:10
M55-59
5
09:09:19
09:50:35
10:16:04
M60-64
4
09:14:24
09:39:37
10:51:42
M65-69
2
10:24:36
10:47:17
14:12:29
M70-74
1
12:20:01
12:20:01
 
F18-24
2
10:01:29
10:45:43
 
F25-29
3
09:04:44
11:15:40
12:30:28
F30-34
5
09:06:21
10:04:20
11:12:35
F35-39
2
08:58:58
09:05:53
 
F40-44
7
08:50:55
10:43:37
11:00:34
F45-49
5
09:01:33
11:12:39
11:44:15
F50-54
4
10:39:33
11:20:16
12:35:28
F55-59
4
10:29:20
11:21:45
12:12:08
F60-64
2
10:50:03
11:29:31
 
F65-69
1
No Finishers
 
 

Based on start numbers and slots available at this race I’ve calculated the expected qualification slots for each division. In this case the times are much faster than normal and wont’ tell you too much about a typical race in Port Macquarie.

Age Group Top 20


Our final charts look at the performances in the top 20 of each age group. Of course 2025 has faster times in most age groups, some smaller age groups show less of this trend. As per other sections of this review, we can’t use the times from this race to tell us much about how qualification compares. I’ll note that the slope of this year’s top 20 is generally similar to previous years which you could take as an indication of similar levels of competition.

Conclusion

My main conclusion – if an Ironman doesn’t have a swim, it’s faster. It’s hard to draw much more from this year’s data. Comparison isn’t straightforward. Bike and run appear to have been a little bit quicker, perhaps down to conditions, but it could simply be part of the effect of racing without a swim.

While I’ve used the data here, due to the adjustments to the race it’s times won’t feature in averages used elsewhere on the site.

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