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Ironman Tallinn 2020: Age Group Results and Kona Qualification

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Ironman racing has returned. After months of postponements and cancellations the second full distance Ironman brand race took place over the weekend in Estonia. Ironman Tallinn 2020 was – not surprisingly – a small race. There are enough restrictions and difficulties with travel in place and Tallinn wasn’t the largest event to begin with. Results trend faster as a consequence, likely seeing the more committed athletes racing.

You can explore the results of Ironman Tallinn in more detail in the results section.

Distribution of Finisher Splits at Ironman Tallinn 2020 Compared with 2018-2019

Both bike and run times trend much faster this year. There are likely two causes for this – there do appear to be faster times in general on the course, but also the reduced numbers have potentially shrunk the mid and back-of-pack. Results are skewed towards faster athletes. Swim times aren’t much different despite many athletes having swum a lot less this season.

Median Splits by Age Group at Ironman Tallinn 2020
Median Splits by Age Group at Ironman Tallinn 2018-2019

Age group median splits follow the trend shown in the distribution – faster times at this years event for both bike and run.

Top 10 Nationalities at Ironman Tallinn 2020
Country
Count
Percentage
Finland
108
19.2
Estonia
83
14.7
Germany
76
13.5
United Kingdom
62
11.0
Netherlands
23
4.1
Poland
23
4.1
France
22
3.9
Italy
20
3.6
Sweden
17
3.0
Lithuania
14
2.5
Ironman Tallinn 2020 Predicted Kona Qualifiers by Country
Country
Percentage of Slots
Percentage of Field
Germany
22.5
13.5
Finland
17.5
19.2
Estonia
15.0
14.7
United Kingdom
12.5
11.0
Hungary
5.0
1.1
Denmark
2.5
1.6
Norway
2.5
0.9
Belgium
2.5
1.8
Latvia
2.5
2.3
Netherlands
2.5
4.1

The small field was drawn from across Europe. The large Finnish turnout likely reflecting transfer options from other cancelled races.

Changes in Male Finishing Times by Position at Ironman Tallinn
Changes in Female Finishing Times by Position at Ironman Tallinn

With smaller races we tend to see a lot of variance between age groups. The largest divisions showing the most consistency while those with only a few competitors reflect those few individuals. So although the race was faster, it’s not true of every age group and position within that age group. The front of the race tended to be somewhat faster, but not hugely. What’s missing is the usual number of athletes at mid and back-of-pack.

Ironman Tallinn 2020 Predicted Kona Qualification Times
Age Group
Slots
Winner
Final Qualifier
10th Place
M18-24
1
08:58:08
08:58:08
12:01:28
M25-29
2
08:27:45
08:48:17
10:21:12
M30-34
5
08:47:25
08:54:59
09:13:53
M35-39
5
08:32:40
08:52:33
09:07:32
M40-44
5
08:47:22
09:01:17
09:23:49
M45-49
5
09:09:56
09:14:38
09:35:37
M50-54
3
09:19:10
09:43:35
10:12:25
M55-59
2
09:51:52
09:55:17
11:42:09
M60-64
1
10:42:14
10:42:14
 
M65-69
1
12:05:24
12:05:24
 
M70-74
1
12:48:17
12:48:17
 
F18-24
1
10:45:01
10:45:01
 
F25-29
1
09:46:26
09:46:26
 
F30-34
1
09:49:09
09:49:09
11:54:16
F35-39
1
10:05:18
10:05:18
12:03:26
F40-44
1
09:44:05
09:44:05
13:21:30
F45-49
1
09:58:54
09:58:54
12:28:56
F50-54
1
10:33:39
10:33:39
 
F55-59
1
No Finishers
 
 
F60-64
1
14:03:39
14:03:39
 

Based on the start numbers I’ve calculated the expected slot allocation and from that the automatic qualification times before roll down. There are lots of ways to explore qualification times across races in the Result & Statistics section. The age group pages are a good way to explore qualification times across races for specific age groups.

Top Twenty Male Performances and Kona Qualification by Age Group at Ironman Tallinn 2020
Top Twenty Female Performances and Kona Qualification by Age Group at Ironman Tallinn 2020

Looking at the top 20 in each age group we can see that male age group times were typically faster than average. That’s not true of every age group, but for the largest divisions between 30 and 50 that’s the case. Women’s age groups trend closer to their previous averages in comparison.

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