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Stat Expectations

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For fun, I checked out Bart Torvik's page today. Was a little surprised that he had UD slotted 90th to start the year. (for those unfamiliar, its similar to ken pom in that it uses past season, recruiting rankings, coaching history, etc... to project early season rankings, then adjusts them thru the season to reflect actual results). He is a smarter dude than I, and as described above, its not some anti-UD bias, just math and projections that could be well off. His numbers will eventually reflect the strength (or lack there of) of UD's results. He had UD well ranked last year from Mauii thru seasons end.



https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Dayton&year=2021


What I did find more interesting was his projected stat lines:


PlayerYrHtPRPG!Min%OrtgUsagePpgRPGAPG Jalen Crutcher Sr 6-1 4.2 82 113 24 15.9 3.4 4.2 Ibi Watson Sr 6-5 3.7 75 116 21 14.2 3.7 1.8 Rodney Chatman Sr 6-1 1.9 70 101 21 9.9 2.8 2.8 Dwayne Cohill Jr 6-2 1.4 67 104 16 7.2 3.1 1.5 Jordy Tshimanga Sr 6-11 1.8 65 102 20 8.8 6.7 1.1 Zimife Nwokeji Fr 6-7 1.1 51 101 19 5.5 3.7 1 Moulaye Sissoko Fr 6-10 0.7 31 101 18 3.6 2.8 0.1 R.J. Blakney Fr 6-6 0.6 26 102 18 3 2.4 0.5 Lukas Frazier Fr 6-3 0.4 19 102 18 2.3 1.1 0.8 Koby Brea Fr 6-6 0.3 14 102 18 1.9 1.8 0.2

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